Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1.441470 1.643268 1.862850 2.119501 2.411245 2.732579 3.113397
2025-11-02 1.118939 1.391485 1.714160 2.124269 2.631693 3.239115 4.021922
2025-11-09 0.916944 1.211285 1.580774 2.078487 2.731552 3.559684 4.690650
2025-11-16 0.796466 1.105602 1.512748 2.087959 2.879909 3.932651 5.440237
2025-11-23 0.711811 1.031572 1.470636 2.117147 3.045197 4.330324 6.247977
2025-11-30 0.631942 0.951939 1.408074 2.105133 3.143902 4.636018 6.946135
2025-12-07 0.558401 0.871500 1.333355 2.063570 3.189662 4.862314 7.540711
2025-12-14 0.492515 0.794391 1.254082 2.004185 3.198292 5.027927 8.050706
2025-12-21 0.444913 0.740058 1.203067 1.981222 3.257333 5.270181 8.694165
2025-12-28 0.422816 0.723941 1.209709 2.049055 3.464410 5.758472 9.769121
2026-01-04 0.384892 0.677475 1.162220 2.022263 3.511611 5.989095 10.435028
2026-01-11 0.365090 0.659701 1.160314 2.071098 3.688609 6.446328 11.519193
2026-01-18 0.332308 0.619136 1.121126 2.061568 3.781606 6.799449 12.513311
2026-01-25 0.304126 0.584454 1.089935 2.065387 3.903286 7.222699 13.693369
2026-02-01 0.272887 0.540210 1.036210 2.020893 3.929700 7.474006 14.578258
2026-02-08 0.252356 0.513935 1.012712 2.030103 4.056610 7.920285 15.873402
2026-02-15 0.236324 0.494583 1.000119 2.058488 4.222318 8.453846 17.389333
2026-02-22 0.217562 0.467503 0.969346 2.046805 4.305984 8.833805 18.634011
2026-03-01 0.197905 0.436307 0.926931 2.006386 4.325858 9.086517 19.640358
2026-03-08 0.178740 0.404000 0.878821 1.948635 4.302727 9.247435 20.467078
2026-03-15 0.164693 0.381344 0.848732 1.926305 4.352663 9.564367 21.658625
2026-03-22 0.159188 0.377261 0.858330 1.992271 4.602685 10.331532 23.916255
2026-03-29 0.146970 0.356374 0.828592 1.966216 4.642830 10.642588 25.175662